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Влияние международной экономики на бюджетные процессы государства
Международный экономический кризис

Важно: при расчете бюджетных показателей учитывать динамику и тенденцию развития международной финансовой экономической системы.

Экономика любого государства, а, следовательно, и структура его ВВП в той или иной степени интегрирована в международную систему хозяйственной связи.

В первую очередь, важнейшим индикатором состояния межгосударственных экономических отношения является торговый баланс. Именно структура такого баланса позволяет определять сегменты финансовых и торговых рынков, которые оказывают непосредственное влияние на процессы формирования ВНП и опосредована в бюджете.

Если экономика в своей основе является импортозамещающей, т.е. сильно зависит от импорта, то в этой ситуации государству необходимо проводить крайне гибкую политику в  пошлин и тарифов по номенклатуре импортируемых товаров.

Если экономика ориентирована на экспорт, важно иметь рычаги влияния на ценовые показатели экспортируемой продукции.


Основные факторы влияния на межгосударственные потоки материально-денежных ценностей с точки зрения их роли в процессе наполнения ВНП в рамках обеспечения бюджетных потоков.


  1. Ценовые факторы.

  • установление протекционистских тарифов и налогов на ввозимую продукцию

  • льготные контракты, льготное кредитование

  • обеспечение налоговых льгот при получении прибыли

  • макроэкономические факторы:

  1. динамика валютного курса (чем ниже, тем лучше для экспортера)

  2. стимулирование инвестиционных процессов (стимулирование притоков иностранных инвестиций делает положительным сальдо платежного баланса)

  3. снижение инфляции


Только в стабильной денежной системе можно четко прогнозировать структуру ВВП. Низкая инфляция позволяет более или менее прогнозировать бюджетные поступления.


  1. Протекционистские факторы.

  • квотирование (достаточно жесткое ограничение как от импорта, как и от импорта, так и от экспорта) Следствие – поддержка собственного производителя

  • тарифы


ВЫВОД: Государственная политика должна быть направлена на достижение баланса между внутренними товаропроизводителями и потребителями с одной стороны и зарубежными контрагентами с другой стороны. В идеале не должно складываться ситуации, когда экономика ориентированна либо на импорт, либо на экспорт.


Необходимо существование баланса, либо должны существовать такие механизмы, которые способны перекрывать эти процессы.

В США дефицит торгового баланса – 180 млрд.

Практически отсутствует инфляция

Прирост ВНП ~ 3,5%


Особенности развития международной платежной системы.


    Важнейшим источником информации о состоянии платежной системы внутри государства, а так же о международном платежном балансе является платежный баланс.


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